2025 Champions League Final Best Value Bet, Preview

In one of the most thrilling Champions League fixtures of all time, Inter Milan outlasted Barcelona to reach their second Champions League Final in three years. Inter defeated Barcelona 7-6, on aggregate, as Davide Frattesi scored the winner in extra time. On Saturday, in Munich, Inter will take on Paris Saint-Germain, who have looked like the best team in Europe over the last couple of months. Inter just barely missed out on the Serie A title last weekend and will desperately want to avoid a trophy-less season.

Meanwhile, PSG took down the English trio of Liverpool, Aston Villa and Arsenal to reach their second Champions League Final. The Parisians have the opportunity to join the shortlist of clubs to win a continental treble. Luis Enrique’s men have already won Ligue 1 and the Coupe de France. Now, they are favorites to win their first ever UCL title.

Ahead of the action, we’ll preview Saturday’s match and share the best value bet for the match.

Champions League Final: Road to Munich

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Opta ranked PSG’s league phase fixtures the most difficult in the entire Champions League. Following a 1-1-3 start, PSG won their last three league phase matches, which included a 4-2 win over Manchester City. They also scored 11 goals in their last three league games and finished in 15th place. PSG destroyed Brest in the knockout stage play-offs, with a 10-0 aggregate win over two legs.

That set up a meeting with Liverpool in the round of 16. Despite dominating the first leg in Paris, PSG fell 1-0. In the return leg, PSG dominated again and Ousmane Dembele’s goal leveled things up. Gianluigi Donnarumma was the hero as Luis Enrique’s men won in penalties. In the Quarters, PSG nearly blew a four goal lead to Aston Villa but held on for a 5-4 aggregate victory.

PSG faced a tough test against Arsenal in the Semifinal but Donnarumma was superb again. PSG managed a 3-1 victory over two legs to reach their first UCL Final since 2020.

Meanwhile, Inter Milan kept five straight clean sheets to open up their UCL campaign. That included impressive shutouts against Man City and Arsenal. With a 6-1-1 record, the Nerazzurri finished in fourth place in the league phase and advanced to the round of 16.

Ahead of the round of 16, we picked Inter to win the competition. They easily took down Feyenoord 4-1 before grinding out a 4-3 aggregate victory over Bayern Munich in the Quarterfinal. Inter proved they’re not just a defensive team by scoring seven goals across two legs against Barcelona.

Both games were classics and ended in 3-3 regulation draws. In the second leg, Francesco Acerbi scored a late equalizer while Frattesi slotted home an extra time winner. However, they alarmingly relinquished 2-0 leads in both legs.

Dembele’s Career Renaissance Continues for PSG

Champions League Final: Ousmane Dembele can strengthen his Ballon d'Or case.

Wikimedia Commons: Антон Зайцев

Ousmane Dembele’s 2024-25 season has been nothing short of extraordinary. He has gone from inconsistent winger to Ballon d’Or favorite as a number nine. Dembele has scored 35 goals and provided 13 assists this season and has move from winger to striker has worked wonders.

Arsenal’s defense had no idea what to do with Dembele when he was floating around as a false nine in the Semifinal. Dembele scored the decisive goal in the first leg against the Gunners as well as the equalizer against Liverpool. This season, Dembele has scored eight UCL goals and has dished out four assists.

Adding Khvicha Kvaratskhelia to an already potent attack has also worked wonders for Luis Enrique’s squad. Kvara is a lightning rod who can just as easily take defenders on as unleash a shot into the top corner from 25 yards out.

Desire Doue and Bradley Barcola have also played key roles on the wings, as PSG’s attacking depth is impressive. PSG’s fullbacks, Nuno Mendes and Achraf Hakimi, love to join the attack. They rank among the Parisians’ top three scorers in the UCL this season.

Captain and central defender Marquinhos is the only player left over from the 2020 squad that lost to Bayern Munich in the Champions League Final. His partnership with Ecuadorian international Willian Pacho has been quite strong. However, PSG’s major weakness is defending set pieces.

In midfield, Vitinha and Joao Neves have frequently bossed matches. They were both out of this world in the round of 16 against Liverpool. Fabian Ruiz also adds toughness to the midfield and he recently scored his first ever Champions League goal.

It seems you need an elite keeper to win the UCL and Gianluigi Donnarumma is exactly that, as he’s bailed out PSG on multiple occasions.

Hard Nosed Inter Ready for Challenge

Inter Milan are in their second Champions League Final in three years and are looking to avoid a repeat of 2023.

Inter Milan have proven to be an incredibly difficult team to defeat. In the Champions League this season, they’ve gone an impressive 10-3-1. They recently played four games against Bayern Munich and Barcelona and didn’t lose a single one. Simone Inzaghi’s side recently missed out on the Serie A title by a single point, which means that Inter should be highly motivated for this one.

The Nerazzurri also heartbreakingly lost the 2023 Champions League Final to Manchester City. They had plenty of chances to win and they’re going to do everything they can to avoid a repeat here. Captain and striker Lautaro Martinez has led Inter Milan with nine Champions League goals. He’s no stranger to a big moment, as he scored the winning goal for Argentina in last Summer’s Copa America Final.

Right wing back Denzel Dumfries was incredible against Barcelona, as he scored twice and provided three assists in just two matches. Inter’s victory was incredibly dramatic and it could galvanize them to go on and win the competition.

After turning a two goal lead into a 3-2 deficit, Inter showed a ton of resilience to pull things back once again. Their roster also has plenty of experience. Eight of Inter’s starters in the 2023 Champions League Final are still on the team.

Hakan Calhanoglu, Nicolo Barella and Henrikh Mkhitaryan make up one of Europe’s best midfield units. Meanwhile, attacker Marcus Thuram is a bit of a wild card but he’s incredibly dangerous when he’s at his best.

Like PSG’s Donnarumma, Inter Milan’s Yann Sommer is also an elite keeper. He made some incredible saves against Barcelona to help Inter reach the Champions League Final.

Champions League Final Analysis, Top Soccer Bet

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Notably, only one team has scored in each of the last six Champions League Finals. During that span every Champions League Final has finished with under three goals. Right now, over 2.5 goals comes in at -110 odds, while under 2.5 is at -105.

PSG are on a 17-game scoring streak and Barcola scored twice against Reims in PSG’s 3-0 Coupe de France Final victory last weekend. Meanwhile, Inter have scored at least twice in each of their last four matches. Inter did, however, have a stretch where they failed to score in three straight matches in April.

The oddsmakers seem to think PSG have a better chance to win Saturday’s match. Currently, PSG sit at +122 to win in normal time, with both a draw and Inter victory at +245. Yes, PSG have been in stellar form but Inter shouldn’t be counted out here.

The Nerazzurri were big underdogs against Man City two years ago, put up a hell of a fight, and were a couple unlucky breaks away from winning. After throwing away the Serie A title, we think that Inter will find a way to come away with the trophy here. So, we’re sticking with our pre-round of 16 prediction that Inter Milan (+1200 at the time) will win the UCL. If you tailed our pick, you can lock in your winnings by hedging on a PSG victory.

Regardless, neither team has been great defensively as of late and we do think that the UCL Final shutout streak will come to an end here. While our Top Soccer Bet of the match is Inter Milan to lift the trophy, at +130 odds, we’d also consider taking a flier on a 1-1 regulation draw, at +490. Expect Inter’s experience to get them over the line.

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